Author
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Topic: [Discuss] Boeing Starliner Crew Flight Test
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Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 53555 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 08-24-2024 12:48 PM
quote: Originally posted by Axman: The live news update was probably delayed because Boeing declined to have a representative.
The update was not delayed. It was always going to start about an hour after the meeting ended. There was no set start time; 1 p.m. EDT was the target, per NASA. Post-flight readiness review briefings typically start later than first advertised.Further, there was never a plan for Boeing to take part in this briefing. There will be upcoming briefings with Boeing representatives. That said, Boeing did issue a statement: Boeing continues to focus, first and foremost, on the safety of the crew and spacecraft. We are executing the mission as determined by NASA, and we are preparing the spacecraft for a safe and successful uncrewed return. |
ejectr Member Posts: 2025 From: Killingly, CT Registered: Mar 2002
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posted 08-24-2024 12:53 PM
Boeing seriously needs to consider cancelling this cash cow before someone unintentionally pays the price. |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 53555 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 08-24-2024 12:59 PM
This is a test flight. Test flights are intended, in part, to catch problems not seen on the ground. The crew was never at risk. They are safe aboard the International Space Station and have always had an alternate way home. If the thruster issues can be addressed by software and/or hardware changes, it would seem wasteful to throw out an otherwise perfectly good spacecraft. Boeing has committed to continue flying Starliner. Bill Nelson, when asked about his confidence in Starliner flying with a crew again, said he was "100%" positive it would launch astronauts again. |
issman1 Member Posts: 1143 From: UK Registered: Apr 2005
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posted 08-24-2024 01:20 PM
I wonder if there was any pressure from the ruling U.S. Democrats, who would want to avoid any possibility of a loss of crew scenario before the Presidential Election. |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 53555 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 08-24-2024 01:44 PM
Bill Nelson was asked about political pressure and replied in part: I have seen some speculation in the press that because we are in an election season, decisions may have been made with regard to this announced today. It absolutely has nothing to do with it, and as long as I'm around here, it's not going to. |
Delta7 Member Posts: 1769 From: Bluffton IN USA Registered: Oct 2007
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posted 08-24-2024 03:29 PM
I wouldn’t be surprised if they fly another crewed test flight next year. |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 53555 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 08-24-2024 03:51 PM
I think it depends on what happens on this landing. If Starliner encounters no further thruster issues and lands on target without issue, I could see a scenario where NASA proceeds to certifying Starliner for operational flight, assuming of course that the thruster problem is well understood and addressed accordingly.If something does go wrong, it may be the severity of that anomaly that determines what NASA and Boeing do next. |
dcfowler1 Member Posts: 156 From: Eugene, OR Registered: May 2006
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posted 08-24-2024 10:46 PM
quote: Originally posted by issman1: I wonder if there was any pressure from the ruling U.S. Democrats, who would want to avoid any possibility of a loss of crew scenario before the Presidential Election.
That seems massively unlikely. |
MartinAir Member Posts: 415 From: Registered: Oct 2020
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posted 08-25-2024 08:45 AM
The Apollo 17 launch date was deliberately chosen after the election. Anything is possible, officials won't admit it. |
Axman Member Posts: 615 From: Derbyshire UK Registered: Mar 2023
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posted 08-25-2024 09:40 AM
The problems with Starliner are fivefold. - The price. Much higher than SpaceX Dragon, and so far much less reliable. Boeing shareholders are not likely to bear the pain much beyond a couple of more years without any sign of return on future investment, either privately (which currently are mere pipe-dreams) or through NASA's contract.
NASA, being publicly funded, are unlikely to stomach such highly inflated costs when a much cheaper and more reliable system is in operation. - The timeline. This is intimately connected to point one. Boeing, according to their contract (which NASA has paid out in full) are required to perform six crew flights to orbit. NASA has so far only provided the go-ahead for three. And those three alone are cutting the time margins down to the bone. (and will incur payment penalties to boot as per problem 1).
- The software. Problems arose on test flight one which were resolved on test flight two by removing (the redundant) crew configured capabilities for that flight. The crew test-flight has shown no further problems, but the automated separation sequence has been suppressed for this flight. Therefore, and NASA and Boeing are aware of this, no Starliner flight has yet flown with a successful endowed complement of both crew and automated software capabilities enabled.
- Helium leaks. The crew test flight was launched with known problems of helium leakage. The issue was underplayed as of minor concern prior to launch, and has been admitted since as of moderate concern. Future flights will need this concern to be properly addressed.
- Doghouse heating problems. These problems arose on the second test flight but the causes were not fully recognised until ground tests in the last couple of months were undertaken due to the thruster problems on the subsequent crew test delayed the crew return. A major problem that Boeing engineers will have (and therefore a problem NASA will have) is that the doghouse units will be separated from the crew compartment and burn up on reentry and will not be available for post-flight examination.
It appears to me that these problems are not inconsiderable. |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 53555 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 08-25-2024 10:01 AM
Each bidder for the commercial crew contract was able to set its own price. SpaceX has admitted in the years since that they underbid Dragon and had they to do it again, they would have bid more (per Gwynne Shotwell).Boeing has not been paid in full for their six flight contract. To quote the OIG, "NASA pays a fixed price using milestone payments for key events such as flight readiness reviews, launches and successful missions. For each mission, NASA pays up to 75 percent of total mission costs prior to each launch." It also should be noted that Boeing paid for the second orbital flight test itself and was under no obligation by NASA to fly the mission. It was Boeing that wanted the extra test flight. Your third point is negated by NASA's decision to land Starliner without its crew. The vehicle launched with its automated undocking software disabled, but will land using it. Per NASA and Boeing, the helium leaks have been traced back to their root cause, the problem is understood and a path forward has already been identified and is in work. The remaining issue facing Starliner is the overheating of its reaction control system thrusters and Boeing feels it now understands the problem. Some NASA engineers disagree, which is what led to the decision to land Calypso without its crew. NASA and Boeing will collect further data during the undocking, separation and de-orbit burn, which will inform the path forward. |
Headshot Member Posts: 1352 From: Vancouver, WA, USA Registered: Feb 2012
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posted 08-25-2024 01:47 PM
quote: Originally posted by MartinAir: The Apollo 17 launch date was deliberately chosen after the election.
The 21 Feb 1972 issue of Aviation Week, page 20, references launching Apollo 17 in early December 1972. This is well before the election. |
CMD_OVRD Member Posts: 82 From: Dallas, TX Registered: Jul 2009
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posted 08-25-2024 10:11 PM
I think that NASA/Boeing(?) made the right decision. You can argue "good" spacecraft/"bad" spacecraft, but in the end it's a "questionable" spacecraft and two lives are potentially at risk. We will not hear about the decision making that went on behind the scenes for some time, much the same way that those conversations were made public following two shuttle losses. But at least this time, they won't be released during the investigation of another tragedy. I'm certain that having former astronauts among the NASA hierarchy helped to steer this decision in the safest possible direction. These are the same folks who understand deeply that they could have been onboard those shuttles while the "managers" on the ground decided their fates. Although Boeing has had its issues as of late, NASA seems to have heeded the lessons of the past and looked after it's people first. |
Headshot Member Posts: 1352 From: Vancouver, WA, USA Registered: Feb 2012
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posted 08-25-2024 11:00 PM
Well said! |
Kite Member Posts: 1163 From: Northampton UK Registered: Nov 2009
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posted 08-26-2024 09:56 AM
The right decision in my opinion. |
Axman Member Posts: 615 From: Derbyshire UK Registered: Mar 2023
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posted 08-26-2024 10:38 AM
quote: Originally posted by Headshot: This is well before the election.
The election was in November.Announcing in February that the launch will be in December does not negate the premise that the launch was deliberately chosen to take place after the election. |
Headshot Member Posts: 1352 From: Vancouver, WA, USA Registered: Feb 2012
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posted 08-26-2024 10:59 AM
This Apollo launch delay discussion is actually off-topic from this thread. So, I will end my part in it by asking, if the Nixon Administration was so concerned about a potential space disaster making him look bad, why did they not delay Apollo 16 as well? Nixon declared his candidacy in June 1972. A disaster with Apollo 16 a month and a half earlier would have put a severe damper on his declaration to run again and his subsequent campaign.As Stan Lee used to say, 'nuff said. |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 53555 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 08-26-2024 11:08 AM
Agreed, this is off topic to the mission at hand and we have another thread where this was discussed. But to answer the latest question, citing Geoffrey Bowman's (Blackarrow) reply to the cited thread: ...Nixon emphatically stated that Apollos 16 and 17 would not go ahead, but he eventually conceded: "If we go, no shots before the election." He was finally persuaded that there was a "politically safe" gap between Apollo 16 and the election; and provided Apollo 17 did not fly until after the election, he agreed that both missions could proceed. Now that being said, nothing about what Nixon did informs what factors played into the Starliner CFT decision. In the case of Nixon, we have proof by way of the White House audio recordings. There is no evidence that the White House had any say or even input into the CFT flight readiness review and we have Bill Nelson categorically dismissing it as false. |
Axman Member Posts: 615 From: Derbyshire UK Registered: Mar 2023
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posted 08-26-2024 11:09 AM
I wasn't arguing in favour of the premise. I was merely pointing out a mistaken argument in logic.'Nuff said indeed. |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 53555 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 08-28-2024 09:54 PM
This, from xkcd, is perfect. |
MartinAir Member Posts: 415 From: Registered: Oct 2020
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posted 08-29-2024 11:08 AM
😆👍👌 |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 53555 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 08-29-2024 04:59 PM
Starliner will undock from the International Space Station no earlier than 6:04 p.m. EDT (2204 GMT) on Friday, Sept. 6. Starliner will then touch down at White Sands Space Harbor, New Mexico at about 12:03 a.m. EDT (0403 GMT) on Saturday, Sept. 7. |
Blackarrow Member Posts: 3777 From: Belfast, United Kingdom Registered: Feb 2002
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posted 08-29-2024 08:37 PM
That 45-day limit for the onboard batteries, which was doubled to 90 days in flight, has now stretched further to at least 93 days. |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 53555 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 08-29-2024 09:00 PM
Starliner is designed to stay in space for 210 days, which is based on lifetime of its 12 on board batteries. The 45-day limit, and then the 45-day extension, were based on NASA not yet knowing how the batteries would perform in space over an extended amount of time.As the first 45 days approached, the batteries exhibited no signs of degradation. So a 45 day extension was approved. As the mission neared 90 days, the batteries again showed no change. |
SpaceAholic Member Posts: 5410 From: Sierra Vista, Arizona Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 08-30-2024 01:06 PM
More color to the discussion and decision to return Starliner without its crew. |
Blackarrow Member Posts: 3777 From: Belfast, United Kingdom Registered: Feb 2002
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posted 08-30-2024 01:10 PM
The saying "Think of a number, then double it" springs to mind. But, more seriously, NASA and Boeing must surely have tested the batteries extensively enough to have had a sufficiently good idea about minimum lifetime in orbit not to apply what looks now like an entirely arbitrary time-limit. |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 53555 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 08-30-2024 01:16 PM
The batteries were designed and tested to be rated for 210 days. The 45 days was a milestone to reassess and continue as warranted.Ground testing is fine, but until proven on orbit, NASA takes precautions. |
SkyMan1958 Member Posts: 1399 From: CA. Registered: Jan 2011
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posted 08-30-2024 04:18 PM
Given that Starliner is the emergency escape vehicle for the CFT crew, why is NASA sending it back to Earth so much sooner than the Crew 9 Dragon is expected to arrive at the ISS? That seems a risk to me. Given that the FAA is halting Falcon 9 launches until further notice, which obviously would included the Crew 9 Dragon launch, this lack of an emergency escape vehicle looks to be even more prolonged. I certainly understand that you need to free up the docking port for Dragon, but given NASA's wish to mitigate safety concerns as much as possible it seems that undocking the Starliner weeks before the Dragon will launch creates an unnecessary safety issue. I would think NASA would have the Starliner undock a couple of days before the launch of Crew 9. |
Blackarrow Member Posts: 3777 From: Belfast, United Kingdom Registered: Feb 2002
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posted 08-30-2024 05:03 PM
quote: Originally posted by Robert Pearlman: The 45 days was a milestone to reassess and continue as warranted.
I absolutely accept your second paragraph, Robert. My problem is with your first paragraph. That's not what we were being told in June. You pointed out on 26th June that "...for this mission, Starliner is limited to spending 45 days docked to the space station. According to NASA, the limit is due to the spacecraft's battery configuration." [N.B. A "milestone" is NOT a limit.]I stress that this is not getting at you: that's what we were all being told by NASA and Boeing. You hit the nail on the head on 6th August when you stated that Boeing "...should never have promoted the mission as an 8-day stay at the space station when they knew it could go longer." Likewise, if they knew that the batteries were rated for 210 days, they should never have reported a 45-day "limit." Why mention 45 days at all if the mission was going to last 8 days and the batteries were good (subject, of course, to actual performance in orbit) for 210 days? But there's the point: if NASA and/or Boeing had reorted that 45 days would be a "milestone" for reassessing the batteries, that would have implied a mission duration exceeding 45 days, otherwise why set a 45-day "milestone"? I obviously realise this is a test-mission and problems should always be anticipated on a test mission, but it seems to me that NASA and/or Boeing launched this vehicle without much confidence in the 8-day time-line. Was setting the reported "limit" of 45 days (based on the batteries) intended to manage public expectations and provide some degree of assurance that any delay in the return couldn't go beyond 45 days? |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 53555 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 08-30-2024 05:19 PM
You raise valid issues about how the mission was described to the press and public, but the public affairs office does not run the mission.The mission ops team was never held to the eight-day timeline, other than it being their initial work schedule until events merited it being changed. As such, the 45-day periods for certifying battery life did not (internally) contradict any plans for the mission. quote: Originally posted by SkyMan1958: That seems a risk to me.
NASA needed to schedule Starliner's undocking such that it included additional time for weather delays. Given the desire to land at White Sands at night (the latter due to wind conditions), there are only opportunities to do so every four days. The next chances after Sept. 6 are Sept. 10 and Sept. 14, the latter being only 10 days from the Crew-9 target launch date.When Starliner undocks, the Crew-8 Dragon will become the CFT crew's escape vehicle. The crew has set up foam-lined pallets that will serve as the CFT crew's "seats" for the ride home, should an emergency evacuation occur. The FAA today cleared SpaceX to resume Falcon 9 launches. |
Ross Member Posts: 564 From: Australia Registered: Jul 2003
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posted 08-31-2024 10:05 AM
SpaceX Dragon was designed to carry six to seven crew, although it has never carried more than four. I wonder if NASA ever considered returning the next SpaceX with a crew of six which would allow their planned schedule to stay the same. |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 53555 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 08-31-2024 10:29 AM
Steve Stich, NASA's program manager for the commercial crew program, addressed the number of seats on Dragon during an Aug. 7 briefing: Relative to additional capability beyond the four seats we have in Dragon, SpaceX had some of those concepts early on relative to additional astronauts. Right now, the seats have to rotate during entry, so it would be really difficult on the cargo pallet to install more seats. And of course, then we would have to modify the ecosystem to handle flow to those suits for cooling, and then also for air. So, we have talked about it a little bit over the years, but we really don't have the time to implement such a system. |
Axman Member Posts: 615 From: Derbyshire UK Registered: Mar 2023
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posted 08-31-2024 10:45 AM
Has the software for automated undocking and re-entry been uploaded/enabled yet?And will the enabling/uploading be tested prior to use? And if the enabling/uploading fails to embed/work, what then? Can the redundant capsule be manually pried off of/ejected from the space station to follow its own course to a gravitational bound descent and burn up without endangering the ISS? |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 53555 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 08-31-2024 11:43 AM
Per NASA's most recent release: Following NASA's decision on Aug. 24 to return the Starliner spacecraft uncrewed, mission managers and flight controllers updated elements of the Starliner systems with specific information for this mission that will allow the spacecraft to execute the return. The uncrewed Starliner spacecraft will perform a fully autonomous return with flight controllers at Starliner Mission Control in Houston and at Boeing Mission Control Center in Florida. The software was tested in the avionics lab before being uploaded to the spacecraft and the crew will prepare Starliner to undock. The update was so Starliner could enter the autonomous mode without the crew instructing it do so. Once that switchover occurs, the vehicle will fly as its sister ship did on OFT-2. |
CMD_OVRD Member Posts: 82 From: Dallas, TX Registered: Jul 2009
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posted 08-31-2024 02:55 PM
quote: Originally posted by Robert Pearlman: ...addressed the number of seats on Dragon
So, has the seating and ecosystem been addressed since this statement to accommodate the two extra crewmembers if this becomes necessary? I saw here that they installed some type of foam cushions for seats, but what about the suit cooling/pressurization? Would they send up portable units to plug into? |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 53555 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 08-31-2024 03:27 PM
There is one extra SpaceX suit aboard the space station. An additional suit will be brought up with Crew-9. If an emergency evacuation is required before Crew-9 arrives but after Starliner departs, Williams and Wilmore will use the foam-lined pallets aboard the Crew-8 Dragon and one will wear the available SpaceX suit. The other will go without. If an emergency evacuation occurs after Crew-9 arrives, Williams and Wilmore will fill the two empty seats on the Crew-9 Dragon and each will wear a SpaceX suit. |
Axman Member Posts: 615 From: Derbyshire UK Registered: Mar 2023
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posted 09-01-2024 01:02 PM
Have you heard the story about the weird noises in Starliner?Sounds very Hollywood 'Hunt for Red October' or 'Das Boot'. |
Ted Peterson Member Posts: 10 From: Registered: Jun 2024
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posted 09-01-2024 07:31 PM
What is interesting to me, is they are having very similar problems as they did 60 years ago. The sonar ping noise is a bit different — but may cause actual concern because there can be unintended effects due to EMI on other systems. In the James McDivitt interview with JSC he said one time they were messing with the interior lighting on a test article, and the tech stationed outside said that the engines were firing, there wasn't any fuel in them, but some relay or solenoid was clicking away. They spent a lot of time worried about uncommanded firing of the pyrotechnics. And then there's this — an engineer talking about the problems they had getting thrusters to work right. Getting too hot, and teflon seals expanding and choking off oxidizer flow. Sounds familiar, no? We were having difficulty with the high temperature soak back after long runs. We decided it would be a good thing to strengthen the Teflon valve seat. In order to do that, we put fiberglass into the Teflon valve seat, and it really stayed together, except when the engine heat soaked back; the Teflon grew and grew and grew, and the oxidizer didn't get through the oxidizer side, if it got too hot. |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 53555 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 09-02-2024 09:24 AM
Per NASA: A pulsing sound from a speaker in Boeing's Starliner spacecraft heard by NASA astronaut Butch Wilmore aboard the International Space Station has stopped. The feedback from the speaker was the result of an audio configuration between the space station and Starliner. The space station audio system is complex, allowing multiple spacecraft and modules to be interconnected, and it is common to experience noise and feedback. The crew is asked to contact mission control when they hear sounds originating in the comm system. The speaker feedback Wilmore reported has no technical impact to the crew, Starliner, or station operations, including Starliner’s uncrewed undocking from the station no earlier than Friday, Sept. 6. |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 53555 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 09-04-2024 12:07 PM
quote: Originally posted by Robert Pearlman: The other will go without.
A correction, as explained today by Steve Stich: We do have one [spare SpaceX] suit on orbit right now that fits Suni. She's tried that suit on, and it fits well. The way the [Crew-8] Dragon is configured for an emergency, Butch and Suni riding on the cargo pallet in temporary seats, that's an unsuited configuration. There are no spacesuits that work there ... and so in a temporary situation, we would not have suits for Butch or Suni on Dragon. Once Crew-9 arrives, it will be bringing a SpaceX suit for Butch, so when they go to leave the station, either in a nominal or emergency situation, they will do so as usual, in seats with suits. |